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Title: Multilevel mixed effects parametric survival models using adaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature with application to recurrent events and individual participant data meta-analysis.
Authors: Crowther, Michael J.
Look, M. P.
Riley, R. D.
First Published: 1-May-2014
Publisher: Wiley
Citation: Statistics in Medicine, 2014, 33 (22), pp. 3844-3858
Abstract: Multilevel mixed effects survival models are used in the analysis of clustered survival data, such as repeated events, multicenter clinical trials, and individual participant data (IPD) meta-analyses, to investigate heterogeneity in baseline risk and covariate effects. In this paper, we extend parametric frailty models including the exponential, Weibull and Gompertz proportional hazards (PH) models and the log logistic, log normal, and generalized gamma accelerated failure time models to allow any number of normally distributed random effects. Furthermore, we extend the flexible parametric survival model of Royston and Parmar, modeled on the log-cumulative hazard scale using restricted cubic splines, to include random effects while also allowing for non-PH (time-dependent effects). Maximum likelihood is used to estimate the models utilizing adaptive or nonadaptive Gauss-Hermite quadrature. The methods are evaluated through simulation studies representing clinically plausible scenarios of a multicenter trial and IPD meta-analysis, showing good performance of the estimation method. The flexible parametric mixed effects model is illustrated using a dataset of patients with kidney disease and repeated times to infection and an IPD meta-analysis of prognostic factor studies in patients with breast cancer. User-friendly Stata software is provided to implement the methods.
DOI Link: 10.1002/sim.6191
ISSN: 0277-6715
eISSN: 1097-0258
Version: Post-print
Status: Peer-reviewed
Type: Journal Article
Rights: Copyright © 2014 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. This is the peer reviewed version of the following article: Crowther M. J., Look M. P. and Riley R. D. (2014), Multilevel mixed effects parametric survival models using adaptive Gauss–Hermite quadrature with application to recurrent events and individual participant data meta-analysis, Statistics in Medicine, 33, pages 3844–3858, which has been published in final form at . This article may be used for non-commercial purposes in accordance with Wiley Terms and Conditions for Self-Archiving.
Appears in Collections:Published Articles, Dept. of Health Sciences

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